Bob's Commentary
Welcome to my website. I will regularly update my commentary on the economy, the stock market and the world. Please visit often.
Photo Exhibits
- Every Second Saturday, The Art Studios, Studio 2
1727 1/2 I Street (behind Michelangelo's Restaurant) - Megami Bento-Ya Restaurant
(1010-10th Street) - Spanish Fly Hair Garage, back area
(1723 J Street) - Lush (20th and I Street)
Mannequin reflection photo Second Saturday
(July 12th) thru September
What's New
- Download the June 2008 edition of Bob's Newsletter (1.01Mb PDF)
- There is a new article in the Resources Section: How to Prepare Financially for a Disaster
Updated July 15th, 2008
Is the economy really different this time?
Since I last updated my comments, the economy and the stock market have gotten worse. I hate to use technical economic jargon, but lately the stock market sucks.
Second Quarter 2008/Year to Date Performance
- (3%)/(12%)Standard and Poor's 500
- (4%)/(13%)Domini Social Index
- (7%)/(13%)Dow Jones Industrial Average (reinvested dividends)
- +1%/(9%)Russell 2000 (Small-Cap Stocks)
- (2%)/(11%)MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, Far East Stocks)
Last week, the Dow Jones Index dipped below 11,000 for the first time in two years. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index, the best proxy for the overall stock market, is below its value when George W. Bush was inaugurated seven and a half years ago. This index hasn't had a negative return during a presidential administration since the Nixon/Ford era from 1968 to 1976 (also a time of war).
Today, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, government sponsored enterprises, publically traded companies which provide funds to mortgage lenders, needed loan assistance from the government (i.e. taxpayers). Official inflation numbers don't look too bad, but if you've bought gas or food lately you've got to wonder about the credibility of the government's statistics.
So, are things going to get better soon? I wish I knew. When you try to predict the future, the most likely scenario is one that resembles the past. If things really are different this time, what will the economic future be like? It's unlikely that you'll guess which will be the best thing to invest in (gold, Euros, cash, baseball cards)? I get freaked out from time to time, but always come back to believing that a well-diversified investment mix is the best strategy.
Last week, it felt like it was 180 degrees outside. You didn't want to breathe the smoky air, but there was no choice. It seemed like a deteriorating environmental apocalypse had started and might keep getting worse. Thankfully, it wasn't different this time. Today, it was a delightful Sacramento summer day. Will things ever be "normal" again in the economy? Let's hope so.
About this site:
I'm a financial advisor by profession, and a writer and artist by avocation. This site was created to serve my current clients and interested individuals by providing
- fresh opinions on the state of the economy and the stock market
- easy access to recent newsletters, investment forms, and financial resources
- information about how I do business and how to prepare for an office visit
- links and resources about general financial topics, socially conscious investing, and alternative news/commentaries
- archives of my past newsletters and non-financial writing
- access to my artwork and photography
